Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.3% vs Suzuki 52.4% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 14-2 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 72.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 89.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 77.9%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Dowd
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
14
(16 meetings)
2
14
Dowd
Suzuki
Last 10: Dowd 1-9 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
12
Dowd
Suzuki
13 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dowd
Suzuki
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Dowd
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (778)
51.3% (1,096)
-2.1%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
59.9% (157)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (234)
56.9% (58)
-12.9%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Dowd is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Dowd shoots right. Suzuki is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Dowd
Suzuki
Home
46.3% (492)
54.2% (638)
Away
49.8% (532)
51.0% (673)
By Period
Dowd
Suzuki
P1
49.1%
51.5%
P2
48.2%
53.3%
P3
46.9%
52.4%
OT
71.4%
58.3%
Final 5 min
45.7%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 19:04 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 18:57 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 18:51 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 18:33 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 15:52 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 08:40 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 13:00 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 10:21 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 10:14 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 10:10 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 13:28 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 02:51 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 19:57 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 10:18 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 10:07 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 06:26 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |