Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.6% vs 48.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 49.6% vs Roy 48.9% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 51.7%
Defensive zone
Roy 65.2%
Neutral zone
Roy 50.2%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Suzuki
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Suzuki
Roy
Last 7: Suzuki 3-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
0
Suzuki
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
Suzuki
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Suzuki
Roy
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (1,075)
49.5% (746)
+0.8%
Power Play
49.3% (219)
50.7% (75)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (116)
42.7% (110)
+0.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Suzuki is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (402).
Suzuki shoots right. Roy is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Roy
Home
53.6% (711)
47.7% (491)
Away
45.5% (699)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Suzuki
Roy
P1
48.5%
51.1%
P2
51.7%
44.6%
P3
49.0%
50.9%
OT
43.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
49.0%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.6%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 18:39 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 03:59 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 17:09 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 15:26 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |