Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 48.4%). Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 49.3% vs Roy 48.4% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 16-9 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 59.6%
Defensive zone
Roy 83.8%
Neutral zone
Roy 63.0%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Suzuki
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
16
(25 meetings)
9
16
Suzuki
Roy
Last 10: Suzuki 3-7 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Suzuki
Roy
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
7
Suzuki
Roy
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
5
6
Suzuki
Roy
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (6,327)
48.7% (3,719)
+0.7%
Power Play
50.7% (1,338)
49.5% (283)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (456)
45.5% (477)
-1.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Suzuki is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,208).
Suzuki shoots right. Roy is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,191).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Roy
Home
51.0% (3,997)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
47.6% (4,124)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Suzuki
Roy
P1
48.8%
50.8%
P2
49.1%
46.3%
P3
50.2%
48.1%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.3%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 11:11 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 18:28 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 2 | 13:38 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 2 | 10:19 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 1 | 07:17 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 17:06 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 18:48 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 09:38 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 1 | 04:53 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:08 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 15:37 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 08:14 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 04:55 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 04:51 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 04:45 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 19:07 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 18:39 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 03:59 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |