Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Suzuki wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 52.4% vs Roy 47.2% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 62.9%
Defensive zone
Roy 90.5%
Neutral zone
Roy 79.6%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 75.1%
24.9%
75.1%
Suzuki
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Suzuki
Roy
Last 5: Suzuki 1-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
Suzuki
Roy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Suzuki
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Suzuki
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,096)
47.5% (617)
+3.8%
Power Play
59.9% (157)
39.6% (53)
+20.3%
Penalty Kill
56.9% (58)
46.4% (97)
+10.5%
On power play, Suzuki has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Suzuki is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (350).
Suzuki shoots right. Roy is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Roy
Home
54.2% (638)
47.2% (398)
Away
51.0% (673)
46.3% (369)
By Period
Suzuki
Roy
P1
51.5%
48.6%
P2
53.3%
48.8%
P3
52.4%
43.9%
OT
58.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
52.6%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 18:48 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 09:38 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 1 | 04:53 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:08 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |