Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.3% vs 48.0%). Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 47.5% vs Roy 48.3% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 69.0%
Defensive zone
Roy 68.0%
Neutral zone
Roy 53.5%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Suzuki
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Suzuki
Roy
Last 7: Suzuki 3-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Suzuki
Roy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Suzuki
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Suzuki
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (1,066)
48.3% (633)
-1.3%
Power Play
49.5% (204)
52.1% (48)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (131)
43.7% (87)
+2.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Suzuki is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (396).
Suzuki shoots right. Roy is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Roy
Home
49.4% (686)
50.8% (376)
Away
45.3% (715)
45.4% (392)
By Period
Suzuki
Roy
P1
45.6%
53.8%
P2
46.9%
43.5%
P3
49.8%
46.4%
OT
38.1%
75.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 15:37 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 08:14 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 04:55 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 04:51 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 04:45 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 19:07 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |