Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.6% vs 49.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 49.6% vs Carrick 49.5% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 66.9%
Defensive zone
Carrick 67.0%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 51.8%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Suzuki
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Suzuki
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Suzuki
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
0
Suzuki
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (1,075)
48.9% (352)
+1.4%
Power Play
49.3% (219)
81.3% (16)
-32.0%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (116)
42.2% (45)
+0.9%
On power play, Carrick has a +32.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Suzuki is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (402).
Suzuki shoots right. Carrick is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Carrick
Home
53.6% (711)
46.9% (192)
Away
45.5% (699)
51.6% (221)
By Period
Suzuki
Carrick
P1
48.5%
48.1%
P2
51.7%
50.0%
P3
49.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.6%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 17:17 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 17:36 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |