Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Suzuki wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 50.3% vs Carrick 53.8% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 79.8%
Defensive zone
Carrick 78.3%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 51.7%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 78.3%
21.7%
78.3%
Suzuki
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Suzuki
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Suzuki
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (904)
55.1% (439)
-3.8%
Power Play
49.8% (265)
66.7% (3)
-16.9%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (57)
49.1% (53)
-12.3%
On power play, Carrick has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Suzuki is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Suzuki shoots right. Carrick is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Carrick
Home
50.6% (603)
58.2% (225)
Away
50.1% (623)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Suzuki
Carrick
P1
52.3%
56.7%
P2
47.5%
52.8%
P3
51.1%
54.4%
Final 5 min
48.5%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.3%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 04:14 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |