Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.6% vs 53.4%). Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Suzuki wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 52.4% vs Carrick 53.0% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 79.2%
Defensive zone
Carrick 77.9%
Neutral zone
Carrick 51.4%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Suzuki
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Suzuki
Carrick
Last 6: Suzuki 3-3 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
1
Suzuki
Carrick
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Suzuki
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
0
Suzuki
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,096)
53.9% (521)
-2.6%
Power Play
59.9% (157)
57.1% (35)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
56.9% (58)
51.5% (229)
+5.4%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Suzuki is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (350).
Suzuki shoots right. Carrick is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Carrick
Home
54.2% (638)
52.7% (408)
Away
51.0% (673)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Suzuki
Carrick
P1
51.5%
51.4%
P2
53.3%
56.6%
P3
52.4%
52.1%
Final 5 min
54.9%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
52.6%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 13:33 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 04:43 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 13:46 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 03:22 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 11:08 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 03:53 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |