Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 49.3% vs Carrick 52.1% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 86.5%
Defensive zone
Carrick 67.2%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 56.5%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Suzuki
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Suzuki
Carrick
Last 10: Suzuki 4-6 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
3
2
Suzuki
Carrick
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
6
Suzuki
Carrick
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Suzuki
Carrick
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (6,327)
52.1% (2,513)
-2.7%
Power Play
50.7% (1,338)
61.3% (75)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (456)
50.7% (430)
-7.1%
On power play, Carrick has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Suzuki is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,208).
Suzuki shoots right. Carrick is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Carrick
Home
51.0% (3,997)
51.2% (1,441)
Away
47.6% (4,124)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Suzuki
Carrick
P1
48.8%
51.8%
P2
49.1%
52.2%
P3
50.2%
52.4%
Final 5 min
49.0%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.3%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 04:14 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 3 | 01:15 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 06:23 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 05:51 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 02:28 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 11:31 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 13:33 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 04:43 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 13:46 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 03:22 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 11:08 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 03:53 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 03:28 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 17:17 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 17:36 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |