Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 52.4% vs Steel 46.6% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 65.9%
Defensive zone
Steel 87.9%
Neutral zone
Steel 76.9%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 85.7%
14.3%
85.7%
Suzuki
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Suzuki
Steel
Last 5: Suzuki 1-4 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
4
Suzuki
Steel
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
0
Suzuki
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,096)
44.6% (177)
+6.7%
Power Play
59.9% (157)
66.7% (3)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
56.9% (58)
44.8% (29)
+12.1%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Suzuki is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (961).
Suzuki shoots right. Steel is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Steel
Home
54.2% (638)
46.7% (90)
Away
51.0% (673)
43.7% (119)
By Period
Suzuki
Steel
P1
51.5%
47.8%
P2
53.3%
47.0%
P3
52.4%
41.3%
OT
58.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
52.6%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 18:56 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 07:21 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 01:48 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 03:58 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 16:52 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |