Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 51.5% vs Steel 52.8% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 71.3%
Defensive zone
Steel 74.9%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 52.4%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Suzuki
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Suzuki
Steel
Last 10: Suzuki 6-4 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
5
0
Suzuki
Steel
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
1
3
Suzuki
Steel
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Suzuki
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (981)
56.9% (320)
-4.5%
Power Play
50.7% (304)
71.4% (7)
-20.7%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (33)
37.0% (73)
-0.6%
On power play, Steel has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Suzuki is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Suzuki shoots right. Steel is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Steel
Home
53.2% (645)
55.9% (202)
Away
50.1% (673)
51.0% (198)
By Period
Suzuki
Steel
P1
48.9%
55.5%
P2
51.5%
55.1%
P3
54.9%
50.3%
Final 5 min
51.4%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.6%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 03:09 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 18:20 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 05:10 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 12:03 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:50 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 09:06 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:47 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:42 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 14:26 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 09:03 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 08:56 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |