Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 50.2%). Look for Steel on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 49.3% vs Steel 50.2% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 62.0%
Defensive zone
Steel 55.5%
Neutral zone
Steel 52.6%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Suzuki
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
10
(19 meetings)
9
10
Suzuki
Steel
Last 10: Suzuki 6-4 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
5
2
Suzuki
Steel
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
1
7
Suzuki
Steel
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
3
1
Suzuki
Steel
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (6,327)
50.6% (2,876)
-1.2%
Power Play
50.7% (1,338)
62.6% (179)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (456)
37.4% (254)
+6.2%
On power play, Steel has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,913).
Suzuki shoots right. Steel is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,237).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Steel
Home
51.0% (3,997)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
47.6% (4,124)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Suzuki
Steel
P1
48.8%
51.9%
P2
49.1%
49.5%
P3
50.2%
49.6%
OT
44.4%
41.9%
Final 5 min
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.3%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 19:03 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 03:09 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 18:20 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 05:10 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 12:03 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:50 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 09:06 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:47 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:42 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 14:26 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 09:03 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 08:56 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 18:56 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 07:21 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 01:48 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 03:58 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 16:52 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 3 | 16:00 | Offensive | Sam Steel |