Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 50.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 50.3% vs Steel 50.6% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 65.6%
Defensive zone
Steel 66.9%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 52.4%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Suzuki
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Suzuki
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Suzuki
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
0
Suzuki
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (904)
52.5% (200)
-1.2%
Power Play
49.8% (265)
71.4% (7)
-21.6%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (57)
40.0% (45)
-3.2%
On power play, Steel has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Suzuki is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (921).
Suzuki shoots right. Steel is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Steel
Home
50.6% (603)
49.5% (109)
Away
50.1% (623)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Suzuki
Steel
P1
52.3%
49.5%
P2
47.5%
47.5%
P3
51.1%
56.6%
OT
48.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.3%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 19:03 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | Sam Steel |