Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Suzuki wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 47.5% vs Kuraly 49.7% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 86.5%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 87.9%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 55.3%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Suzuki
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Suzuki
Kuraly
Last 10: Suzuki 6-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
3
1
Suzuki
Kuraly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
3
Suzuki
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
3
0
Suzuki
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (1,066)
49.2% (901)
-2.2%
Power Play
49.5% (204)
68.2% (22)
-18.7%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (131)
49.8% (219)
-3.2%
On power play, Kuraly has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Suzuki is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Suzuki shoots right. Kuraly is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Kuraly
Home
49.4% (686)
51.7% (603)
Away
45.3% (715)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Suzuki
Kuraly
P1
45.6%
50.9%
P2
46.9%
49.5%
P3
49.8%
49.1%
OT
38.1%
25.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 15:10 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 03:10 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 05:27 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 15:27 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 00:45 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 17:47 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 14:20 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 11:09 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 11:07 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 18:10 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |