Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 27 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 49.3% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 38-23 in 61 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 80.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 89.4%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 56.6%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Suzuki
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
38
-
23
(61 meetings)
38
23
Suzuki
Kuraly
Last 10: Suzuki 6-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
21
6
Suzuki
Kuraly
27 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
6
15
Suzuki
Kuraly
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
11
2
Suzuki
Kuraly
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (6,327)
51.5% (5,141)
-2.1%
Power Play
50.7% (1,338)
56.0% (100)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (456)
44.2% (1,086)
-0.6%
On power play, Kuraly has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,913).
Suzuki shoots right. Kuraly is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,226).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Kuraly
Home
51.0% (3,997)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
47.6% (4,124)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Suzuki
Kuraly
P1
48.8%
51.1%
P2
49.1%
49.9%
P3
50.2%
50.0%
OT
44.4%
52.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.3%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 18:47 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 04:35 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 04:27 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 12:09 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 02:55 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 08:58 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 07:04 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 02:11 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:50 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 19:23 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 19:13 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 18:16 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 04:23 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 09:58 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 07:38 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 16:48 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 16:15 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 10:52 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 10:33 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |