Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 50.2%). Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 50.3% vs Kuraly 50.1% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 82.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 82.5%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 50.7%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Suzuki
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Suzuki
Kuraly
Last 10: Suzuki 6-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
9
1
Suzuki
Kuraly
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
6
Suzuki
Kuraly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Suzuki
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (904)
51.8% (444)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (57)
45.3% (150)
-8.5%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Suzuki is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (921).
Suzuki shoots right. Kuraly is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (226).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Kuraly
Home
50.6% (603)
54.6% (304)
Away
50.1% (623)
45.5% (290)
By Period
Suzuki
Kuraly
P1
52.3%
55.2%
P2
47.5%
45.7%
P3
51.1%
49.5%
OT
48.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.3%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 18:47 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 04:35 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 04:27 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 12:09 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 02:55 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 08:58 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 07:04 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 02:11 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:50 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 19:23 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 19:13 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 18:16 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 04:23 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 09:58 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 07:38 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 16:48 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 16:15 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |