Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 52.4% vs Kuraly 48.4% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 89.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 66.4%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 67.7%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Suzuki
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Suzuki
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
0
Suzuki
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Suzuki
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
0
Suzuki
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,096)
49.4% (445)
+1.9%
Power Play
59.9% (157)
100.0% (3)
-40.1%
Penalty Kill
56.9% (58)
41.9% (117)
+15.0%
On power play, Kuraly has a +40.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Suzuki is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (961).
Suzuki shoots right. Kuraly is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Kuraly
Home
54.2% (638)
49.2% (248)
Away
51.0% (673)
47.3% (317)
By Period
Suzuki
Kuraly
P1
51.5%
48.3%
P2
53.3%
44.7%
P3
52.4%
51.7%
Final 5 min
54.9%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
52.6%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 01:51 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 3 | 08:07 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 07:00 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 17:21 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |