Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on defensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 49.3% vs Hertl 54.2% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 21-14 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 60.5%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 73.8%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 58.1%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Suzuki
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
21
(35 meetings)
14
21
Suzuki
Hertl
Last 10: Suzuki 5-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
7
9
Suzuki
Hertl
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
5
8
Suzuki
Hertl
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
4
Suzuki
Hertl
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (6,327)
53.8% (8,268)
-4.4%
Power Play
50.7% (1,338)
59.3% (1,975)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (456)
46.3% (806)
-2.7%
On power play, Hertl has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,913).
Suzuki shoots right. Hertl is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,133).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Hertl
Home
51.0% (3,997)
55.7% (5,344)
Away
47.6% (4,124)
52.8% (5,705)
By Period
Suzuki
Hertl
P1
48.8%
53.6%
P2
49.1%
54.1%
P3
50.2%
55.3%
OT
44.4%
46.5%
Final 5 min
49.0%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.3%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 12:50 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 07:10 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 07:01 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 06:58 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 03:49 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 18:36 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 16:44 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 09:17 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 16:32 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 08:26 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 15:47 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 15:42 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 12:33 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 06:42 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 10:18 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 06:12 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 04:39 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 14:50 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 14:27 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |