Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 51.5% vs Hertl 55.4% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 65.3%
Defensive zone
Hertl 52.1%
Neutral zone
Hertl 55.6%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Suzuki
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Suzuki
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
0
Suzuki
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Suzuki
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (981)
54.1% (717)
-1.7%
Power Play
50.7% (304)
61.9% (210)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (33)
58.1% (31)
-21.7%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Suzuki is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Suzuki shoots right. Hertl is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Hertl
Home
53.2% (645)
58.1% (492)
Away
50.1% (673)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Suzuki
Hertl
P1
48.9%
57.1%
P2
51.5%
54.0%
P3
54.9%
56.6%
OT
25.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.4%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.6%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 12:50 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |