Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 49.6% vs Hertl 52.3% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 50.5%
Defensive zone
Hertl 56.3%
Neutral zone
Hertl 52.0%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Suzuki
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Suzuki
Hertl
Last 10: Suzuki 5-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
4
Suzuki
Hertl
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
3
0
Suzuki
Hertl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Suzuki
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (1,075)
51.6% (1,084)
-1.3%
Power Play
49.3% (219)
61.0% (246)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (116)
44.1% (136)
-1.0%
On power play, Hertl has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,008).
Suzuki shoots right. Hertl is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Hertl
Home
53.6% (711)
55.2% (696)
Away
45.5% (699)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Suzuki
Hertl
P1
48.5%
55.4%
P2
51.7%
54.8%
P3
49.0%
48.9%
OT
43.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.6%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 07:56 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 09:26 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 00:41 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 00:37 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 1 | 17:20 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 1 | 03:50 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 15:33 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 10:33 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 17:00 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 03:36 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |