Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Suzuki wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 47.5% vs Hertl 54.5% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 70.8%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 76.3%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 69.2%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 72.8%
72.8%
27.2%
Suzuki
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Suzuki
Hertl
Last 10: Suzuki 1-9 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
5
Suzuki
Hertl
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
4
Suzuki
Hertl
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Suzuki
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (1,066)
54.1% (1,117)
-7.1%
Power Play
49.5% (204)
59.8% (296)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (131)
34.4% (32)
+12.2%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Suzuki is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Suzuki shoots right. Hertl is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Hertl
Home
49.4% (686)
54.3% (709)
Away
45.3% (715)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Suzuki
Hertl
P1
45.6%
51.6%
P2
46.9%
53.6%
P3
49.8%
58.6%
OT
38.1%
45.5%
Final 5 min
47.4%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 15:47 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 15:42 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 12:33 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 06:42 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 10:18 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 06:12 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 04:39 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 14:50 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 14:27 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 10:54 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 13:05 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 13:01 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 07:52 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |