Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 46.8% vs Seguin 57.4% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 53.2%
Defensive zone
Seguin 88.8%
Neutral zone
Seguin 77.5%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 68.7%
31.3%
68.7%
Suzuki
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Suzuki
Seguin
Last 7: Suzuki 5-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Suzuki
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
0
Suzuki
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
3
0
Suzuki
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (582)
59.6% (736)
-13.0%
Power Play
45.0% (60)
61.5% (65)
-16.5%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (17)
47.6% (124)
-6.4%
On power play, Seguin has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Suzuki is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Suzuki shoots right. Seguin is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Seguin
Home
46.0% (350)
60.1% (461)
Away
46.6% (309)
56.3% (464)
By Period
Suzuki
Seguin
P1
47.6%
59.1%
P2
45.7%
58.9%
P3
46.6%
57.3%
OT
22.2%
46.7%
Final 5 min
44.0%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
46.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 13:13 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 2 | 16:34 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 2 | 12:32 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 2 | 09:20 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 15:34 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 13:35 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 08:38 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |