Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 47.5% vs Seguin 54.2% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 64.8%
Defensive zone
Seguin 70.6%
Neutral zone
Seguin 61.0%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 65.3%
34.7%
65.3%
Suzuki
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Suzuki
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
0
Suzuki
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Suzuki
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
0
Suzuki
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (1,066)
55.0% (713)
-8.0%
Power Play
49.5% (204)
56.7% (104)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (131)
47.2% (53)
-0.6%
On even strength, Seguin has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Suzuki is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (396).
Suzuki shoots right. Seguin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Seguin
Home
49.4% (686)
56.2% (443)
Away
45.3% (715)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Suzuki
Seguin
P1
45.6%
54.2%
P2
46.9%
52.9%
P3
49.8%
57.1%
OT
38.1%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 14:28 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 12:45 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 19:49 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 11:06 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |