Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 49.3% vs Seguin 53.6% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 53.5%
Defensive zone
Seguin 81.3%
Neutral zone
Seguin 65.3%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 64.5%
35.5%
64.5%
Suzuki
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
9
(23 meetings)
14
9
Suzuki
Seguin
Last 10: Suzuki 6-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
6
5
Suzuki
Seguin
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
3
4
Suzuki
Seguin
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
5
0
Suzuki
Seguin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (6,327)
53.7% (8,071)
-4.3%
Power Play
50.7% (1,338)
55.9% (810)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (456)
49.3% (762)
-5.7%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Suzuki is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,208).
Suzuki shoots right. Seguin is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,846).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Seguin
Home
51.0% (3,997)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
47.6% (4,124)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Suzuki
Seguin
P1
48.8%
52.8%
P2
49.1%
53.3%
P3
50.2%
54.7%
OT
44.4%
54.7%
Final 5 min
49.0%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 06:23 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 10:50 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 19:37 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 12:19 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:17 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 14:28 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 12:45 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 19:49 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 11:06 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 17, 2022 | OT | 01:01 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 10:01 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 08:44 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 11:16 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 06:44 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 06:42 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 03:47 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 13:13 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 2 | 16:34 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 2 | 12:32 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 2 | 09:20 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |