Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Suzuki wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 50.3% vs Seguin 52.5% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 61.3%
Defensive zone
Seguin 70.4%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 51.6%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 70.4%
29.6%
70.4%
Suzuki
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Suzuki
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Suzuki
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (904)
53.2% (201)
-1.9%
Power Play
49.8% (265)
60.0% (25)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (57)
44.4% (9)
-7.6%
On power play, Seguin has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Suzuki is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Suzuki shoots right. Seguin is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Seguin
Home
50.6% (603)
56.3% (126)
Away
50.1% (623)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Suzuki
Seguin
P1
52.3%
44.3%
P2
47.5%
52.1%
P3
51.1%
62.5%
OT
48.6%
80.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 06:23 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |