Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Suzuki wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 52.4% vs Seguin 55.4% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 57.2%
Defensive zone
Seguin 65.9%
Neutral zone
Seguin 61.3%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Suzuki
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Suzuki
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
1
Suzuki
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
0
Suzuki
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,096)
56.9% (478)
-5.6%
Power Play
59.9% (157)
57.4% (54)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
56.9% (58)
51.3% (76)
+5.6%
On even strength, Seguin has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Suzuki is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (350).
Suzuki shoots right. Seguin is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Seguin
Home
54.2% (638)
57.4% (317)
Away
51.0% (673)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Suzuki
Seguin
P1
51.5%
50.3%
P2
53.3%
60.4%
P3
52.4%
58.0%
OT
58.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.9%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
52.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 10:50 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 19:37 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 12:19 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:17 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |