Who wins more faceoffs, Joe Pavelski or Nicklas Backstrom?

Joe Pavelski leads the head-to-head 7-3 across 10 faceoffs.

What is Joe Pavelski's faceoff record against Nicklas Backstrom?

Joe Pavelski is 7-3 against Nicklas Backstrom in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 3-1, Defensive 3-2, Neutral 1-0.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Joe Pavelski or Nicklas Backstrom?

Joe Pavelski is the predicted winner with a 65.8% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Joe Pavelski vs Nicklas Backstrom

Joe PavelskiR vs Nicklas BackstromL

2010-11 · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Joe Pavelski holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Pavelski wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Pavelski 53.9% vs Backstrom 52.3% (+1.8%)

H2H factor Pavelski leads 7-3 in 10 meetings

Offensive zone Backstrom 56.1%

Defensive zone Pavelski 83.1%

Neutral zone Pavelski 66.9%

Result Joe Pavelski favored at 65.8%

65.8%

34.2%

Pavelski Backstrom

Head-to-Head Record

7 - 3 (10 meetings)

Pavelski Backstrom

Last 10: Pavelski 7-3 Backstrom

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: Pavelski

Pavelski Backstrom

4 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: Pavelski

Pavelski Backstrom

5 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: Pavelski

Pavelski Backstrom

1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Pavelski

Backstrom

Edge

Even Strength

53.4% (682)

52.1% (940)

+1.3%

Power Play

63.7% (168)

51.3% (267)

+12.4%

Penalty Kill

48.1% (160)

55.4% (83)

-7.3%

On power play, Pavelski has a +12.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Backstrom shoots left. Pavelski is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (790).

Pavelski shoots right. Backstrom is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (547).

Home / Away

Pavelski

Backstrom

Home

59.0% (527)

53.6% (638)

Away

49.3% (493)

51.4% (677)

By Period

Pavelski

Backstrom

50.8%

54.8%

58.9%

50.5%

53.6%

52.0%

42.9%

59.1%

Final 5 min

54.1%

51.7%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Pavelski

62.0%▲

52.0%

54.3%

Backstrom

50.0%▲

48.5%

52.5%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Feb 17, 2011	3	19:39	Defensive	Nicklas Backstrom
Feb 17, 2011	2	12:43	Offensive	Joe Pavelski
Feb 17, 2011	2	04:41	Defensive	Joe Pavelski
Feb 17, 2011	2	04:16	Offensive	Joe Pavelski
Feb 8, 2011	3	19:44	Neutral	Joe Pavelski
Feb 8, 2011	3	11:06	Offensive	Joe Pavelski
Feb 8, 2011	3	00:36	Defensive	Joe Pavelski
Feb 8, 2011	1	15:29	Defensive	Joe Pavelski
Feb 8, 2011	1	10:46	Offensive	Nicklas Backstrom
Feb 8, 2011	1	02:37	Defensive	Nicklas Backstrom

Pavelski's Profile | Backstrom's Profile