Joe Pavelski vs Nicklas Backstrom
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.4% vs Backstrom 51.1% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Backstrom leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Backstrom 61.4%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 61.5%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 63.7%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
Pavelski
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Pavelski
Backstrom
Last 10: Pavelski 3-7 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
4
Pavelski
Backstrom
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
2
Pavelski
Backstrom
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
1
Pavelski
Backstrom
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (690)
51.0% (1,104)
+2.2%
Power Play
61.5% (174)
54.5% (178)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
55.3% (47)
47.2% (89)
+8.1%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Pavelski is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (707).
Pavelski shoots right. Backstrom is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (499).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Backstrom
Home
56.1% (421)
52.6% (705)
Away
53.9% (490)
49.7% (666)
By Period
Pavelski
Backstrom
P1
57.1%
51.1%
P2
55.8%
51.0%
P3
52.5%
51.4%
OT
44.4%
55.6%
Final 5 min
60.8%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.9%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 11:36 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 05:24 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 06:22 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 4, 2017 | 3 | 08:32 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 4, 2017 | 3 | 02:14 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 4, 2017 | 2 | 10:51 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 4, 2017 | 2 | 01:17 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 4, 2017 | 1 | 05:44 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 4, 2017 | 1 | 04:09 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |