Nicklas Backstrom vs Ryan O'Reilly
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 46.9% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 68.9%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 72.7%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 52.7%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Backstrom
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Backstrom
O'Reilly
Last 6: Backstrom 3-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
0
Backstrom
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Backstrom
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
0
Backstrom
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (541)
56.6% (1,064)
-9.6%
Power Play
47.4% (95)
60.4% (260)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
15.4% (13)
54.0% (261)
-38.6%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +38.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Backstrom is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Backstrom shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Backstrom
O'Reilly
Home
48.5% (328)
54.9% (801)
Away
44.2% (321)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Backstrom
O'Reilly
P1
44.8%
58.0%
P2
42.9%
56.7%
P3
50.9%
55.4%
OT
57.1%
64.7%
Final 5 min
47.1%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 17:06 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 00:08 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 17:44 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 01:05 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 08:10 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |