Nicklas Backstrom vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 41 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 50.5% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 71-57 in 128 meetings
Offensive zone
Backstrom 74.7%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 79.1%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 73.7%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 75.8%
75.8%
24.2%
Backstrom
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
57
-
71
(128 meetings)
57
71
Backstrom
O'Reilly
Last 10: Backstrom 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
19
24
Backstrom
O'Reilly
43 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
15
26
Backstrom
O'Reilly
41 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
23
21
Backstrom
O'Reilly
44 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (11,581)
56.2% (15,260)
-5.8%
Power Play
52.3% (1,895)
58.8% (3,445)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (889)
51.4% (2,811)
-4.4%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Backstrom is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (8,966).
Backstrom shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Backstrom
O'Reilly
Home
52.6% (7,223)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
48.4% (7,173)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Backstrom
O'Reilly
P1
50.1%
55.6%
P2
49.7%
57.0%
P3
51.6%
55.1%
OT
52.9%
62.2%
Final 5 min
50.5%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 17:06 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 00:08 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 17:44 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 01:05 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 08:10 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 2, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 2, 2019 | 3 | 12:38 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 2, 2019 | 3 | 03:14 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 2, 2019 | 3 | 02:59 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 2, 2019 | 2 | 10:35 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 3 | 16:33 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 3 | 07:14 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 1 | 06:14 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 1 | 04:41 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 2 | 13:19 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 2 | 08:48 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 2 | 05:29 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 1 | 16:47 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 1 | 01:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |