Nicklas Backstrom vs Ryan O'Reilly
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 51.1% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-1.5%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 60.8%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 52.8%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 52.8%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Backstrom
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (77)
55.0% (1,084)
-1.8%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
56.8% (303)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
40.3% (149)
-40.3%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +40.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Backstrom is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Backstrom shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Backstrom
O'Reilly
Home
54.5% (55)
54.8% (759)
Away
48.3% (29)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Backstrom
O'Reilly
P1
50.0%
55.3%
P2
52.9%
51.9%
P3
55.0%
54.2%
OT
50.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
55.0%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%