Nicklas Backstrom vs Ryan O'Reilly
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Backstrom wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 50.3% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-5.4%)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 51.8%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 64.0%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 61.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Backstrom
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (473)
56.1% (690)
-4.7%
Power Play
39.5% (38)
64.6% (96)
-25.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
45.9% (109)
-12.6%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +25.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Backstrom is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Backstrom shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Backstrom
O'Reilly
Home
53.6% (278)
58.3% (408)
Away
46.6% (236)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Backstrom
O'Reilly
P1
51.5%
57.7%
P2
56.0%
54.8%
P3
43.5%
55.2%
OT
50.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
48.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%