Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 51.9% vs Monahan 52.8% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 59.1%
Defensive zone
Hischier 52.5%
Neutral zone
Monahan 57.1%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Hischier
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Hischier
Monahan
Last 5: Hischier 4-1 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Hischier
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
3
0
Hischier
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
0
Hischier
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,011)
51.5% (641)
-0.5%
Power Play
58.2% (261)
62.8% (129)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (130)
33.3% (9)
+14.4%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Hischier is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (858).
Hischier shoots left. Monahan is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Hischier
Monahan
Home
52.8% (665)
53.9% (362)
Away
51.4% (737)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Hischier
Monahan
P1
53.8%
48.0%
P2
53.8%
57.0%
P3
49.5%
54.1%
OT
35.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
52.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2022 | 3 | 14:58 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 3 | 06:11 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 2 | 13:16 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 2 | 13:06 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 06:27 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |