Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hischier wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 56.2% vs Monahan 54.5% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 64.6%
Defensive zone
Monahan 52.0%
Neutral zone
Monahan 52.8%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Hischier
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Hischier
Monahan
Last 5: Hischier 5-0 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
3
0
Hischier
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
2
0
Hischier
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (1,018)
57.1% (871)
-1.0%
Power Play
59.9% (289)
53.1% (262)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (80)
44.6% (139)
+6.7%
On power play, Hischier has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Hischier is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Hischier shoots left. Monahan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Hischier
Monahan
Home
56.5% (706)
55.3% (644)
Away
56.7% (681)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Hischier
Monahan
P1
54.8%
53.9%
P2
57.8%
55.3%
P3
57.6%
54.4%
OT
14.3%
76.5%
Final 5 min
54.3%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
56.6%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 04:02 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 13:23 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 04:49 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 17:58 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 07:03 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |