Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 53.6% vs Monahan 53.9% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 53.6%
Defensive zone
Hischier 59.3%
Neutral zone
Monahan 51.9%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Hischier
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Hischier
Monahan
Last 5: Hischier 2-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Hischier
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
0
Hischier
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Hischier
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (1,185)
54.5% (231)
-2.1%
Power Play
57.8% (315)
58.2% (67)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (154)
52.2% (23)
+4.9%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Hischier is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Hischier shoots left. Monahan is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Hischier
Monahan
Home
53.4% (844)
53.5% (144)
Away
54.3% (810)
56.5% (177)
By Period
Hischier
Monahan
P1
49.7%
52.5%
P2
54.6%
50.9%
P3
56.1%
60.8%
OT
65.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
53.9%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 05:15 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:08 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 08:46 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 08:42 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |