Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Hischier wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 55.2% vs Monahan 52.4% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 60.2%
Defensive zone
Hischier 70.9%
Neutral zone
Monahan 55.2%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Hischier
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
8
(19 meetings)
11
8
Hischier
Monahan
Last 10: Hischier 6-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
8
2
Hischier
Monahan
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
4
Hischier
Monahan
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Hischier
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (1,228)
52.4% (853)
+3.4%
Power Play
62.1% (282)
58.6% (174)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (267)
46.5% (144)
+1.1%
On power play, Hischier has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Hischier is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,187).
Hischier shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Hischier
Monahan
Home
56.5% (867)
53.4% (624)
Away
54.6% (910)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Hischier
Monahan
P1
57.9%
53.7%
P2
55.9%
52.4%
P3
52.7%
51.6%
OT
66.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
55.7%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.5%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 18:50 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 18:35 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 18:23 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 17:47 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 17:10 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 15:11 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 15:01 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 14:56 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 14:30 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 13:55 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 02:00 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 19:03 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 16:46 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 16:10 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 13:31 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 11:40 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 08:23 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 04:20 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 04:12 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |