Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Sturm 59.0% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Sturm leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 86.8%
Defensive zone
Jenner 71.8%
Neutral zone
Jenner 69.7%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 77.0%
77.0%
23.0%
Jenner
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
11
(14 meetings)
3
11
Jenner
Sturm
Last 10: Jenner 1-9 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
3
Jenner
Sturm
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
8
Jenner
Sturm
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (775)
60.6% (708)
-6.1%
Power Play
59.1% (198)
61.1% (18)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (140)
56.4% (101)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Jenner is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Jenner shoots left. Sturm is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Home / Away
Jenner
Sturm
Home
52.9% (512)
61.6% (451)
Away
55.4% (601)
58.2% (376)
By Period
Jenner
Sturm
P1
55.0%
55.9%
P2
54.5%
58.9%
P3
53.6%
64.6%
OT
52.6%
70.6%
Final 5 min
53.5%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.3%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 18:17 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 14:32 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 14:24 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 09:24 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 09:13 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 14:35 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 10:34 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 06:19 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 04:04 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 15:47 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 15:29 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 19:02 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 14:57 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 05:56 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |