Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Nico Sturm
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Pageau wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 56.7% vs Sturm 55.2% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Sturm leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Sturm 51.4%
Defensive zone
Sturm 61.1%
Neutral zone
Sturm 55.3%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Pageau
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Pageau
Sturm
Last 10: Pageau 4-6 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
3
Pageau
Sturm
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
4
Pageau
Sturm
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
58.8% (889)
56.1% (716)
+2.7%
Power Play
58.2% (182)
67.7% (31)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (185)
51.1% (133)
-2.5%
On power play, Sturm has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Pageau is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Sturm is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Pageau
Sturm
Home
59.0% (595)
55.6% (412)
Away
55.7% (661)
56.0% (468)
By Period
Pageau
Sturm
P1
58.9%
59.6%
P2
57.9%
52.0%
P3
55.6%
55.5%
OT
44.4%
60.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 14:40 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 11:34 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 11:30 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 01:48 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 04:43 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 02:18 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 01:20 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 18:23 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 08:44 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 06:31 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 01:39 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |