Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.3% vs Sturm 55.2% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Sturm leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 86.2%
Defensive zone
Sturm 57.5%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 65.3%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Kotkaniemi
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Kotkaniemi
Sturm
Last 10: Kotkaniemi 3-7 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
0
Kotkaniemi
Sturm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
5
Kotkaniemi
Sturm
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
2
Kotkaniemi
Sturm
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (637)
56.1% (716)
-4.3%
Power Play
48.2% (56)
67.7% (31)
-19.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
51.1% (133)
-8.2%
On power play, Sturm has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (472).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Sturm is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Sturm
Home
53.1% (339)
55.6% (412)
Away
49.9% (361)
56.0% (468)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Sturm
P1
48.3%
59.6%
P2
55.0%
52.0%
P3
50.4%
55.5%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.4%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 06:55 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 06:50 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 15:52 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 01:28 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 01:24 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 06:03 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 2 | 11:04 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 2 | 03:03 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 1 | 16:10 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 1 | 02:24 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |