Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.3% vs Sturm 59.0% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Sturm leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 88.2%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 60.7%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 73.8%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Kotkaniemi
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Kotkaniemi
Sturm
Last 10: Kotkaniemi 1-9 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
3
Kotkaniemi
Sturm
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
4
Kotkaniemi
Sturm
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
2
Kotkaniemi
Sturm
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (586)
60.6% (708)
-8.9%
Power Play
48.1% (52)
61.1% (18)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
56.4% (101)
+6.1%
On power play, Sturm has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Sturm is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Sturm
Home
49.5% (313)
61.6% (451)
Away
53.5% (333)
58.2% (376)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Sturm
P1
54.5%
55.9%
P2
51.1%
58.9%
P3
49.0%
64.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.5%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 00:50 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 2 | 15:18 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 2 | 06:06 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 2 | 05:50 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 2 | 00:47 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 2 | 00:29 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 1 | 18:43 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 05:43 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 05:28 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 13:35 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |