Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sturm wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 53.6% vs Krebs 45.5% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sturm 64.9%
Defensive zone
Sturm 92.2%
Neutral zone
Sturm 86.7%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 86.7%
86.7%
13.3%
Sturm
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Sturm
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
3
0
Sturm
Krebs
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (271)
44.6% (388)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
54.4% (90)
45.0% (20)
+9.4%
On even strength, Sturm has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Sturm shoots left. Krebs is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Sturm
Krebs
Home
53.0% (168)
46.8% (188)
Away
56.0% (193)
42.4% (224)
By Period
Sturm
Krebs
P1
58.2%
47.2%
P2
53.2%
44.9%
P3
52.3%
41.1%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 06:05 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 06:01 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 01:43 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |