Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 59.0% vs Krebs 46.8% (+13.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sturm 73.1%
Defensive zone
Sturm 90.4%
Neutral zone
Sturm 76.9%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 90.4%
90.4%
9.6%
Sturm
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Sturm
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
0
Sturm
Krebs
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
60.6% (708)
47.2% (542)
+13.4%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
54.2% (24)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (101)
31.3% (48)
+25.1%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +25.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Sturm is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Sturm shoots left. Krebs is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
Sturm
Krebs
Home
61.6% (451)
45.5% (312)
Away
58.2% (376)
47.0% (302)
By Period
Sturm
Krebs
P1
55.9%
46.6%
P2
58.9%
42.7%
P3
64.6%
48.6%
OT
70.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 07:39 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 16:25 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |