Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 52.5% vs Thomas 49.9% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 86.0%
Defensive zone
Sturm 60.6%
Neutral zone
Thomas 61.9%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 86.0%
14.0%
86.0%
Sturm
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Sturm
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
Sturm
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (480)
49.0% (910)
+5.0%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
53.5% (142)
-24.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (102)
53.3% (75)
-3.3%
On power play, Thomas has a +24.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Sturm is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Sturm shoots left. Thomas is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Sturm
Thomas
Home
54.0% (287)
47.3% (514)
Away
52.0% (302)
52.0% (613)
By Period
Sturm
Thomas
P1
53.5%
50.4%
P2
51.0%
47.5%
P3
55.1%
51.4%
OT
20.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
52.8%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | 1 | 15:10 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |