Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 53.6% vs Thomas 51.7% (+2.7%)
Offensive zone
Thomas 73.9%
Defensive zone
Sturm 68.3%
Neutral zone
Thomas 53.3%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Sturm
Thomas
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (271)
50.1% (615)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
54.4% (90)
52.6% (114)
+1.8%
On even strength, Sturm has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Sturm is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Sturm shoots left. Thomas is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Sturm
Thomas
Home
53.0% (168)
51.9% (374)
Away
56.0% (193)
51.9% (453)
By Period
Sturm
Thomas
P1
58.2%
49.2%
P2
53.2%
55.3%
P3
52.3%
50.6%
OT
100.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
55.7%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.9%