Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 64.3% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 57.1% vs Thomas 54.5% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 73.7%
Defensive zone
Sturm 59.7%
Neutral zone
Sturm 51.9%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 73.7%
26.3%
73.7%
Sturm
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Sturm
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Sturm
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
62.1% (356)
55.3% (990)
+6.8%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
54.2% (190)
+20.8%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (62)
52.5% (158)
-13.8%
On power play, Sturm has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Sturm is 64.3% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Sturm shoots left. Thomas is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (994).
Home / Away
Sturm
Thomas
Home
61.8% (191)
55.1% (690)
Away
56.3% (231)
54.5% (648)
By Period
Sturm
Thomas
P1
58.0%
55.5%
P2
57.9%
56.4%
P3
60.6%
51.5%
Final 5 min
58.3%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 16:55 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |