Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 52.5% vs Couturier 54.5% (-2.6%)
Offensive zone
Couturier 69.1%
Defensive zone
Sturm 71.2%
Neutral zone
Sturm 50.3%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Sturm
Couturier
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (480)
57.4% (303)
-3.4%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
65.5% (55)
-36.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (102)
40.0% (70)
+10.0%
On power play, Couturier has a +36.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Sturm shoots left. Couturier is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (268).
Home / Away
Sturm
Couturier
Home
54.0% (287)
54.3% (219)
Away
52.0% (302)
56.9% (209)
By Period
Sturm
Couturier
P1
53.5%
53.2%
P2
51.0%
54.8%
P3
55.1%
57.9%
OT
20.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
52.8%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
55.6%