Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 53.6% vs Couturier 53.2% (+1.1%)
Offensive zone
Couturier 58.0%
Defensive zone
Sturm 55.9%
Neutral zone
Sturm 51.9%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Sturm
Couturier
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (271)
53.4% (758)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
54.4% (90)
50.7% (227)
+3.7%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Sturm shoots left. Couturier is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (680).
Home / Away
Sturm
Couturier
Home
53.0% (168)
50.7% (517)
Away
56.0% (193)
56.1% (538)
By Period
Sturm
Couturier
P1
58.2%
55.2%
P2
53.2%
53.0%
P3
52.3%
53.3%
OT
100.0%
42.4%
Final 5 min
55.7%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%