Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 59.0% vs Couturier 53.2% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 71.7%
Defensive zone
Sturm 77.5%
Neutral zone
Couturier 58.9%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Sturm
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Sturm
Couturier
Last 6: Sturm 3-3 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Sturm
Couturier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Sturm
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
0
Sturm
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
60.6% (708)
53.8% (1,003)
+6.8%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
56.4% (202)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (101)
42.7% (89)
+13.7%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Sturm is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Sturm shoots left. Couturier is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Home / Away
Sturm
Couturier
Home
61.6% (451)
54.4% (680)
Away
58.2% (376)
52.4% (614)
By Period
Sturm
Couturier
P1
55.9%
56.3%
P2
58.9%
51.8%
P3
64.6%
52.2%
OT
70.6%
60.9%
Final 5 min
59.5%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 09:26 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 16:24 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 16:12 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 07:31 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 02:39 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 05:22 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |