Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.8% vs 55.1%). Sturm wins 56.1% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 55.2% vs Monahan 53.9% (+0.7%)
Offensive zone
Monahan 75.4%
Defensive zone
Sturm 76.6%
Neutral zone
Monahan 54.7%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Sturm
Monahan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (716)
54.5% (231)
+1.6%
Power Play
67.7% (31)
58.2% (67)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (133)
52.2% (23)
-1.1%
On power play, Sturm has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Sturm is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Sturm shoots left. Monahan is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Sturm
Monahan
Home
55.6% (412)
53.5% (144)
Away
56.0% (468)
56.5% (177)
By Period
Sturm
Monahan
P1
59.6%
52.5%
P2
52.0%
50.9%
P3
55.5%
60.8%
OT
60.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.8%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%