Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 57.1% vs Monahan 52.4% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 63.5%
Defensive zone
Sturm 76.2%
Neutral zone
Sturm 60.4%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Sturm
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Sturm
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
0
Sturm
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
62.1% (356)
52.4% (853)
+9.7%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
58.6% (174)
+16.4%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (62)
46.5% (144)
-7.8%
On power play, Sturm has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Sturm is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Sturm shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Sturm
Monahan
Home
61.8% (191)
53.4% (624)
Away
56.3% (231)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Sturm
Monahan
P1
58.0%
53.7%
P2
57.9%
52.4%
P3
60.6%
51.6%
Final 5 min
58.3%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 07:51 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |